Highest temperature in Miami on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will it get in Miami? Specifically, it wants to know which temperature band the day's peak temperature will fall into — either a mild 88–89°F, a typical 90–91°F, or a hotter 92–93°F. Think of it as a weather forecast turned into a question with three possible answers. Miami in mid-June is deep in its hot, humid season, so the question isn't really IF it'll be hot, but exactly how hot. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded that day at Miami International Airport, using data from the Weather Underground website. The temperature is measured in whole-degree Fahrenheit — so 90.7°F would count as 90°F, not 91°F. Whichever of the three ranges (88–89, 90–91, or 92–93°F) contains that official peak reading wins. The market waits until the first data point from June 15 appears before finalizing, to allow any late corrections to the June 14 record. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The one headline supplied is about an investment firm's stock holdings — completely unrelated to Miami weather. To follow this market meaningfully, you'd want to watch extended weather forecasts for South Florida as June 14, 2026 approaches, and pay attention to any signs of unusual heat patterns or tropical weather systems in the region. Weather forecasting beyond a few days out is genuinely hard, even in a place as predictably hot as Miami in June. The difference between 90°F and 92°F can come down to whether clouds roll in, how humid the sea breeze is, or whether a nearby storm system shifts the temperature by just a degree or two. The market currently leans toward 90–91°F at 52%, but the 92–93°F range draws 31% — a meaningful share — reflecting real uncertainty about whether the day runs hotter than average.

The odds right now

• 90-91°F61%
• 92-93°F25%
• 88-89°F10%
• 94-95°F3%
• 86-87°F1%
• 96-97°F0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 84-85°F0%
• 82-83°F0%
• 81°F or below0%
• 100°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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