Highest temperature in Milan on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, how hot will Milan get at its peak? Specifically, it's asking which temperature bucket — 33°C, 34°C, or 35°C — will match the single highest reading of the day at Milan's Malpensa Airport. In everyday terms, 34°C is roughly 93°F, which is a hot summer day but not extreme; 35°C (~95°F) is notably hotter; 33°C (~91°F) is warm but a degree cooler. The market is currently betting most heavily on 34°C as the peak. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Malpensa Airport on July 14, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading must be a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. Whichever temperature bracket contains that peak number wins. One important detail: the market won't close until the first data point from July 15 appears on the site, giving time for any late corrections to the July 14 data to be captured. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. No relevant news was provided for this market. The two headlines in the feed relate to Malaysian politics and have no connection to Milan's weather. What would actually matter here: any weather forecast for northern Italy in mid-July 2026, or historical data showing how often Milan reaches each temperature on that date. Weather forecasting more than a few days out carries real uncertainty, and this date is still over a year away, making any current odds essentially long-range climate estimates rather than actual forecasts. July in Milan runs hot, but daily peaks vary depending on air masses, humidity, and whether a heat wave is passing through. The three options — 33, 34, and 35°C — are all clustered close together, meaning a single degree of difference decides everything. Small measurement timing shifts at the airport station could easily tip the result between buckets.

The odds right now

• 34°C63%
• 33°C18%
• 35°C13%
• 36°C1%
• 32°C1%
• 31°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 29°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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