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Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13?

39%Updated 7 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest moment of the day feel like in Moscow? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature in degrees Celsius recorded at Vnukovo Airport, one of Moscow's main airports, on that single day. A result of 27°C is a warm early-summer day — roughly 81°F. A result of 28°C is a touch hotter, around 82°F. The question is simply which bucket the thermometer's highest reading falls into. The market settles based on one specific number: the highest temperature reading recorded at Vnukovo Airport (airport code UUWW) on June 13, 2026, as published by NOAA on their official time-series page. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 27.6°C would count as 28°C. The market won't close until the first data point from June 14 appears on that page, confirming the day is complete. Any corrections NOAA makes before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's normal for a weather question more than a year away — no forecast exists yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal outlooks from Russian or European meteorological services, and any unusual weather patterns developing over Europe or Central Asia in early June 2026. Weather a year in advance is genuinely unpredictable — no forecast model can reliably tell you the peak temperature on a specific day that far out. Moscow's June weather varies meaningfully year to year: some years bring early heat waves, others stay mild. The market spreads its weight across 27°C and 28°C most heavily, but a cooler or hotter day is entirely possible. The main uncertainty here isn't a close call between two sides — it's simply that nature hasn't decided yet.

The odds right now

  • 27°C39%
  • 28°C28%
  • 26°C21%
  • 29°C10%
  • 25°C5%
  • 30°C2%
  • 31°C1%
  • 32°C or higher0%
  • 22°C or below0%
  • 23°C0%
  • 24°C0%

Price history

27°C

40%+23.5%

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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