Highest temperature in Moscow on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will it get in Moscow? Specifically, it's asking which single temperature — 19°C, 20°C, or 21°C (roughly 66°F, 68°F, or 70°F) — will be the highest reading of the day at Vnukovo Airport, one of Moscow's main airports used as a standard weather measurement point. Only the peak temperature of the day matters, not the average or the overnight low. The market settles based on the highest temperature reading recorded by NOAA at Vnukovo Airport on June 14, 2026, measured in whole degrees Celsius. Whoever runs this market checks the NOAA time-series data for that day, finds the single highest number in the temperature column, and that determines which answer wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from June 15 appears before settling, to make sure the full day's readings are in. None of the provided recent headlines relate to Moscow weather, Russian climate conditions, or meteorological forecasts. No relevant news was provided. The kind of update that would matter here is a weather forecast for Moscow on or around June 14 — something like a regional heatwave warning or an unusually cold airmass moving in. Weather forecasting more than a day or two out is genuinely hard, and this market ends about a year from now, so current odds reflect historical averages for Moscow in mid-June rather than any real forecast. June in Moscow typically sees highs in the 18–24°C range, so 19–21°C are all plausible. The spread across three close options — each within one degree of the others — shows how tight and unpredictable this kind of precise temperature call really is.

The odds right now

• 20°C39%
• 19°C28%
• 21°C17%
• 22°C9%
• 18°C8%
• 23°C1%
• 24°C0%
• 17°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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