Highest temperature in Munich on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of July 14, 2026 feel like in Munich? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature for that single day — the highest reading on the thermometer before midnight. A win for '28°C' means the day's hottest point lands exactly at 28 degrees Celsius (about 82°F). A win for '27°C' means it peaks a degree cooler, and '29°C' means a degree warmer. Think of it as guessing the top of the day's temperature arc. After July 14, 2026 ends, the market settles by checking the official weather record for Munich Airport (station code EDDM) on the Weather Underground website. Whatever whole-degree Celsius number is logged as the day's highest temperature determines the winner. One important detail: temperatures can be revised slightly after the fact, but only until the first reading of July 15 is published — after that, the number is locked in, even if corrections appear later. No relevant weather or Munich news was provided for this market. The one headline in the feed — about a dam project in India — has no connection to this question. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date: European weather forecasts for mid-July 2026, any heat-wave or cold-front signals from meteorological services covering Bavaria. Weather this far out is genuinely hard to pin down. July is Munich's warmest month, and mid-July highs commonly fall in exactly the 27–29°C range the market is debating — which is why the odds are spread across three close options rather than concentrated on one. A passing storm, a shift in wind direction, or an unexpected heat surge could each tip the reading by a degree or two. The market currently leans toward 28°C, but one degree separates all three leading options.

The odds right now

• 28°C39%
• 27°C33%
• 29°C14%
• 30°C6%
• 26°C3%
• 31°C2%
• 25°C or below1%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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