Highest temperature in Munich on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be at Munich's airport weather station? The three most likely answers the market offers are 21°C, 22°C, or 23°C — roughly the kind of mild, pleasant warmth you'd expect on a European early-summer day, somewhere between a light jacket and short sleeves. You're not betting on a range; you're picking the single whole-number peak temperature that matches what the station records. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's historical data page for Munich Airport (station code EDDM) and reads the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever that single number is — say, 22°C — the outcome matching that number wins. There's one timing detail worth knowing: the market waits until the first data point from June 15 appears on the site before settling, to allow any same-day corrections to come through first. There is no relevant recent news provided for this market. The one headline supplied is about a UN visit to Sri Lanka, which has no connection to Munich weather. What would actually matter here is closer-to-date weather forecasts for Munich in mid-June 2026 — those typically only become meaningful within about two weeks of the date. Weather is genuinely hard to pin down to a single degree, even close to the date. The market currently leans toward 22°C at 37%, with 21°C and 23°C close behind — so the top three outcomes together cover most of the realistic range, but each is far from certain. Munich in mid-June can swing based on whether a warm front or a cool Atlantic system passes through. A difference of just a few degrees in either direction shifts the outcome entirely, and that kind of precision is beyond what forecasts reliably deliver even days out.

The odds right now

• 22°C41%
• 21°C32%
• 23°C18%
• 20°C9%
• 19°C3%
• 24°C2%
• 25°C1%
• 18°C1%
• 26°C or higher0%
• 17°C0%
• 16°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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