Highest temperature in Paris on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Paris? The three options — 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C — are like buckets, and whichever one the actual peak temperature falls into wins. To give you a sense of scale: 33°C is about 91°F, 34°C is about 93°F, and 35°C is about 95°F. These are genuinely hot summer days, the kind where you feel it the moment you step outside. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded on July 13, 2026, at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 14 appears on that site, after which any later corrections to the July 13 data are ignored. If the peak lands at, say, 34°C, the "34°C" option wins and all others lose. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Paris weather or temperature forecasts for July 13, 2026. Since the market date is still roughly a year away, there are no meaningful weather reports or forecasts to point to yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal outlooks for summer 2026 in Europe, and then short-range forecasts in the days immediately before July 13. Weather this far in advance is genuinely unpredictable — even professional forecasters can't reliably call a specific city's peak temperature more than about two weeks out. The three options are fairly close together (just 2°C separates the lowest from the highest), so a small shift in a weather system could easily move the answer from one bucket to another. The market currently leans toward 34°C at 43%, but the other two options together account for most of the remaining probability, reflecting real spread across plausible outcomes.

The odds right now

• 34°C45%
• 35°C30%
• 33°C17%
• 36°C4%
• 31°C or below1%
• 37°C1%
• 32°C1%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C0%
• 40°C0%
• 41°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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