Highest temperature in Paris on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the single highest temperature of the day be in Paris — specifically at Le Bourget Airport — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius? The three options are 23°C (about 73°F), 24°C (about 75°F), or 25°C (about 77°F). Think of it as a temperature guessing game for one specific day: a warm but not hot early-summer afternoon in Paris. The market settles based on one number: the highest temperature recorded at Paris Le Bourget Airport on June 12, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whichever option — 23°C, 24°C, or 25°C — matches that peak reading wins. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees, so 24.7°C would count as 24°C, not 25°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 13 appears on that site, after which any later corrections to the data are ignored. None of the provided news headlines relate to Paris weather, temperatures, or meteorological conditions. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter is an official weather forecast for Paris on June 12, 2026 — something like a 10-day forecast from Météo-France or a similar service as that date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and right now June 12, 2026 is likely too far away for any reliable forecast. The market currently leans toward 24°C at 42%, with 25°C close behind at 34%. But early June in Paris can swing several degrees based on whether a warm southern airmass or a cooler Atlantic system moves through. A single cloud cover shift can be the difference between 23°C and 25°C. The gap between the top two options is narrow, which reflects real uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 24°C39%
• 23°C27%
• 25°C26%
• 22°C4%
• 26°C or higher3%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C0%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 16°C or below0%
• 17°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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