Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Qingdao, China on July 13, 2026? Qingdao is a coastal city in eastern China. The three options — 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C — represent different possible peak temperatures, roughly 79°F, 81°F, and 82°F. You are essentially guessing which of those three narrow bands the day's single highest reading will land in, as measured at the city's main airport weather station. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on July 13, 2026, pulled from the Weather Underground website. Whichever option — 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C — contains that recorded number wins. The temperature is rounded to a whole degree, so a reading of 26.7°C would count as 26°C, not 27°C. The market won't officially close until the first data point from July 14 appears on the site, locking in the final reading. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The one headline listed appears to be completely unrelated to weather in Qingdao. To watch for things that would genuinely matter here: any seasonal forecasts for eastern China in mid-July, or news about unusual weather patterns affecting the region around that date, would be the most useful signals. Even on a specific day in a specific city, pinpointing the exact peak temperature within a two-degree window is genuinely difficult. July is Qingdao's summer, but the city's coastal location means sea breezes can keep temperatures lower than inland areas nearby — which is probably why the market clusters around 26–27°C rather than higher. The honest challenge is that weather forecasts a year out are essentially meaningless, and even a day before, a single cloud pattern can shift the peak reading by a degree or two.

The odds right now

• 26°C93%
• 27°C7%
• 28°C0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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