Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like in Qingdao, China — specifically, which temperature bucket will the thermometer hit at the city's main airport? The options are narrow ranges centered around 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C (roughly 86–90°F). A "Yes" for 31°C means the day's peak temperature lands in that range, not the others. It's essentially a one-day weather snapshot for a specific location. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded on July 14, 2026, at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, as reported by the weather site Weather Underground. Whichever temperature bucket contains that peak reading wins. One important detail: the data is rounded to whole degrees Celsius, so a reading of 31.7°C would count as 31°C, not 32°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 15 appears on that site — after that, any corrections to the data no longer count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of information that would matter here includes seasonal weather pattern forecasts for eastern China in mid-July, or any climate anomaly signals — such as an unusually strong heat dome or cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures near Qingdao — for summer 2026. Weather prediction more than a few days out is genuinely hard, and July 2026 is still far away — long-range forecasts this specific are not reliable. Qingdao sits on the coast of the Yellow Sea, which tends to moderate summer heat, but day-to-day variation still swings several degrees depending on wind direction, cloud cover, and passing weather systems. The three leading options (30°C, 31°C, 32°C) are clustered closely together, which means a small shift in conditions on that single day changes the outcome entirely.

The odds right now

• 29°C77%
• 30°C18%
• 31°C4%
• 32°C1%
• 34°C1%
• 33°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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