Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Qingdao, China? Qingdao is a coastal city in eastern China, and the measurement comes from its main international airport weather station. The market offers several possible answers — 27°C, 28°C, 29°C, and likely others — and whichever one matches the actual peak temperature that day wins. Think of it like guessing the high on a weather forecast, but for one specific future date. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on July 15, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The market waits until the first data point for July 16 appears on that page, then locks in whatever the daily peak was. Any late corrections to the July 15 data are accepted only within that window; after July 16 data appears, the number is final. There is no relevant recent news provided for this market. The one headline listed is about an education policy in India and has no connection to Qingdao or its weather. For this kind of market, what would actually matter is seasonal weather pattern forecasts for eastern China in mid-July, or any unusual climate events affecting the region as the date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this date is still about a year away. The market spread across 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C — each priced between 20–28% — reflects real uncertainty: Qingdao's July temperatures typically cluster in this range, but the coast moderates heat unpredictably. A hot inland air mass, a sea breeze, or a passing weather system can each shift the peak by a degree or two. With this much time remaining, the current odds are essentially an educated historical guess.

The odds right now

• 28°C31%
• 29°C22%
• 27°C22%
• 30°C11%
• 26°C8%
• 31°C7%
• 32°C2%
• 25°C or below1%
• 34°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 35°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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