Highest temperature in Seoul on June 10?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 10, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in the Seoul area? The reading comes from a weather station at Incheon International Airport, which sits just west of Seoul. The three options — 22°C, 23°C, or 24°C — represent different possible peak temperatures for that day, roughly in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit. Whichever single degree matches the official high reading wins. After June 10, 2026 ends, the market checks the Weather Underground page for Incheon Airport and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole degree Celsius. Whichever option — 22°C, 23°C, or 24°C — matches that number is the winner. The market waits until at least one data point from June 11 appears before settling, to allow any same-day corrections to be captured. Readings revised after June 11's first data point are ignored. The two news items provided — about UK and Australian universities opening campuses in India — have no connection to Seoul weather or this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would actually matter is a regional weather forecast for the Seoul area in the days leading up to June 10, 2026. Weather forecasting more than a few days out is genuinely hard, and this market is asking about a specific date still roughly a year away. The market currently prices 22°C at 44% and 23°C at 38%, suggesting the two are fairly close. Early June in Seoul sits in a transitional period before the summer monsoon, so temperatures can swing based on wind direction and passing weather systems — small changes that no one can reliably predict this far in advance. The outcome is a single-degree question, which makes it especially sensitive to small forecasting errors.

The odds right now

• 23°C100%
• 16°C or below0%
• 17°C0%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C0%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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