Highest temperature in Seoul on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, how hot will it get in the Seoul area — specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 22°C, 23°C, or 24°C? Those are roughly 72°F, 73°F, and 75°F — a mild-to-warm early-summer day. The market is not asking about the average temperature or the overnight low, just the single highest reading of that day. A 'Yes' on any option means the thermometer peaked within that one-degree band. At the end of June 11, 2026, the market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded that day at Incheon International Airport, as logged on the Weather Underground website. The number is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 23.7°C would count as 24°C. The market waits until the first data point for June 12 appears on that site before closing, giving any late revisions to the June 11 data a chance to be included. After that cut-off, no further corrections are considered. The two recent news items provided — an earthquake in the Philippines and a university story in Liberia — have no connection to Seoul weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. For a market like this, the things worth watching as the date approaches would be extended weather forecasts for the Seoul and Incheon area in early June 2026. Early June in Seoul is genuinely variable. The city sits in a transition zone between spring and the start of rainy season, so a single day's high can shift several degrees depending on wind direction, cloud cover, or an early monsoon pulse. The three leading options span only a 2°C range, which is a very small window — a slightly cloudier or sunnier day than expected could push the reading outside all three. The market also uses an airport weather station, which can read differently from downtown Seoul.

The odds right now

• 23°C39%
• 22°C37%
• 24°C17%
• 21°C6%
• 25°C3%
• 20°C2%
• 26°C1%
• 27°C or higher0%
• 19°C0%
• 17°C or below0%
• 18°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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