Highest temperature in Seoul on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in the Seoul area, measured in whole degrees Celsius? The answer isn't Yes or No — it's a number. The market splits into ranges (26°C, 27°C, 28°C, and likely others not shown), and whichever range matches the actual recorded high that day wins. To picture the scale: 26°C is a warm but pleasant summer day, around 79°F. 28°C is noticeably hotter, around 82°F. The market settles using the official high temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on June 13, 2026, pulled from the weather site Weather Underground. The reading must be in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. The market can only close after the first data point for June 14 appears on that site, locking in the final number. Any corrections Weather Underground makes before that cutoff count; corrections after that point do not. The airport station is slightly outside central Seoul, so readings may differ a little from the city center. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather market like this, what would matter closer to the date is a reliable 10-day or seasonal forecast for the Seoul region in mid-June — particularly whether a heat wave or an early monsoon pattern is expected around that time of year. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market closes over a year from now. The three leading options — 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C — are priced very close together (30%, 29%, 25%), which reflects that uncertainty honestly. Mid-June in Seoul sits right at the edge of the rainy season, when temperatures can swing meaningfully depending on cloud cover, wind, and rain. A single unusually hot or cool day could land the result outside the top three options entirely.

The odds right now

• 26°C33%
• 27°C30%
• 28°C27%
• 25°C8%
• 29°C3%
• 30°C or higher2%
• 24°C2%
• 23°C1%
• 22°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 20°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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