Highest temperature in Seoul on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Seoul, measured in whole degrees Celsius? The options are specific temperature values — 26°C, 27°C, 28°C, and likely others — and whichever one matches the actual recorded high wins. In practical terms, mid-June in Seoul is early summer: warm and sometimes humid, but not yet peak heat. Think of a typical warm afternoon, somewhere in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius (roughly 79–84°F). The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Incheon International Airport on June 14, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole number — so 27.6°C would count as 27°C, not 28°C. The final number is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on that site. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. One thing to note: the station is at Incheon Airport, which sits on the coast west of central Seoul, so it can read slightly cooler than the city center. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's normal — a weather question set over a year away won't generate news yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal weather pattern forecasts for the Korean Peninsula in June, and any signals about whether that summer is tracking warmer or cooler than average. A year-out weather forecast is genuinely difficult — no model reliably predicts a specific day's high temperature that far ahead. The market is spread across 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C, with no single option above 30%, which reflects real uncertainty. Even in June, Seoul's daily highs can vary by several degrees depending on wind direction, cloud cover, and whether a weather system passes through. The coastal airport location adds another variable, since sea breezes can suppress the reading relative to what the city itself experiences.

The odds right now

• 27°C37%
• 26°C27%
• 28°C20%
• 25°C16%
• 29°C or higher5%
• 24°C4%
• 23°C1%
• 22°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 19°C or below0%
• 20°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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