Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, how hot will it get in Shanghai? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at Shanghai's Pudong Airport weather station, measured in whole degrees Celsius. A result of 33°C means the peak heat that day stays around 91°F — warm but not extreme for Shanghai in July. A result of 35°C means a noticeably hotter day, around 95°F, which is typical of Shanghai's more intense summer days. The market settles based on one specific reading: the highest temperature logged at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on July 13, 2026, as shown on the weather history site Wunderground. The number must be a whole degree Celsius — no decimal rounding games. The final answer is locked in once the first data point for July 14 appears on that site, after which no corrections to the July 13 record will be considered. There are multiple outcome buckets (33°C, 34°C, 35°C, and presumably others), and whichever range contains that peak reading wins. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The one headline available is about a film milestone, which has no bearing on Shanghai's weather. To track how this market might move closer to the date, the thing to watch would be extended weather forecasts for Shanghai in mid-July 2026 — particularly any signals of heat waves or unusual pressure systems over eastern China. Weather forecasting more than a day or two out is genuinely hard, and this market resolves over a year from now, which means current odds are really just based on historical patterns for mid-July in Shanghai — not an actual forecast. Shanghai in July regularly sees highs anywhere from the low 30s to above 37°C depending on the year. The three leading outcomes are nearly evenly split between 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C, reflecting honest uncertainty, not a clear lean. A single weather system closer to the date could shift things significantly.

The odds right now

• 34°C48%
• 33°C36%
• 35°C13%
• 36°C3%
• 32°C3%
• 37°C or higher0%
• 31°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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