Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, how hot will it get in Shanghai? Specifically, it wants to pin down the peak temperature that day — the single highest reading recorded — and match it to one of several degree options (like 27°C, 28°C, 29°C, and so on). Think of it as a thermometer contest: everyone is guessing where the needle tops out on that one day. Right now the market leans toward 28°C, which is a warm but fairly typical early-June day in Shanghai. This settles based on one specific number: the highest temperature logged at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on June 13, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — so 28.7°C would count as 28°C, not 29°C. The market waits until the first data point from June 14 appears on that site before finalizing, and only temperature revisions made before that cutoff are counted. After that, the number is locked in. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's normal this far out — weather forecasts for a specific day more than a year away don't exist yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal weather pattern outlooks for eastern China in early June, and eventually the actual short-range forecast for Shanghai in the days just before June 13, 2026. Weather a year in advance is genuinely impossible to predict with precision — even professional meteorologists can't forecast a specific city's daily high temperature more than about two weeks out. Early June in Shanghai typically brings highs ranging from roughly 25°C to 33°C, so several outcomes are plausible. The spread across the current options (27°C at 23%, 28°C at 31%, 29°C at 17%) reflects that honest uncertainty. A single weather system passing through on that exact day could shift the outcome by several degrees either way.

The odds right now

• 28°C33%
• 27°C28%
• 26°C17%
• 29°C15%
• 25°C8%
• 30°C2%
• 31°C1%
• 24°C1%
• 32°C or higher1%
• 23°C0%
• 22°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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