Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 10?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 10, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at one specific weather station in Shenzhen, China — measured in whole degrees Celsius? The options are temperature ranges, and you're picking which bucket the peak temperature falls into. June 10 is early summer in Shenzhen, a coastal city in southern China known for hot, humid weather at that time of year. Right now, the market is almost entirely behind the 29°C bucket. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station on June 10, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The number used will be rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. Settlement can only happen once the first data point from June 11 appears on that site, giving time for any last-minute corrections to June 10's readings. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Because the event is over a year away, the most useful things to watch closer to the date would be long-range seasonal forecasts for southern China, and any updates about unusual heat patterns in the Pearl River Delta region during early June. The honest answer is that predicting a specific daily high temperature more than a year in advance is genuinely very hard — weather at that level of precision is essentially unforecastable that far out. The market is priced at 99% for 29°C, meaning it reflects the historical norm for that station in early June rather than any real forecast. The main uncertainty is simply whether the actual day turns out hotter or cooler than the historical average, which any single June day absolutely can.

The odds right now

• 29°C100%
• 30°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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