Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in Shenzhen on June 14, 2026? The three main options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — think of these as a warm summer day, a hot summer day, or a very hot summer day. It's not asking about the average temperature or the overnight low, just the single peak reading for that one day, measured at the airport weather station on the western edge of the city. The market settles on whichever temperature option matches the highest single reading recorded at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on June 14, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading is in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. The market can only close after the first data point for June 15 appears on that site, locking in the final number. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after it do not. None of the provided news is relevant to Shenzhen's weather on June 14, 2026 — the only headline is about a UN visit to Sri Lanka. No weather forecasts or climate data for that date were included. What would actually matter here is a reliable extended weather forecast for Shenzhen in mid-June, or historical temperature records for that date in past years. June in Shenzhen is warm and humid, but daily peak temperatures can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, rain, and whether a weather system is passing through — none of which can be known a year in advance. The three leading options (28°C, 29°C, 30°C) together cover about 82% of the market, suggesting reasonable confidence in that narrow range, but the spread across all three shows real disagreement about the exact degree. A single cloudy afternoon or an unexpected heat spell could tip the outcome either way.

The odds right now

• 29°C38%
• 30°C32%
• 28°C17%
• 31°C16%
• 32°C2%
• 27°C1%
• 33°C1%
• 34°C or higher0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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