Highest temperature in Singapore on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, how hot will Singapore get? Specifically, it's asking which temperature — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — will be the single highest reading of the day at Changi Airport. Think of it as a forecast competition: the winning answer is whichever number matches the peak afternoon heat that day. The market currently leans toward 32°C (56%), with 33°C as the second guess (32%), and 31°C as the cooler long shot (12%). The market settles on whichever temperature bracket contains the highest reading logged at Singapore's Changi Airport Station on July 15, 2026. The data comes from Weather Underground's historical record for that station. Only whole-number Celsius readings count — so 32.7°C would still count as 32°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 16 appears on that site. Any last-minute corrections to July 15 data before that cutoff are considered; corrections after are not. The two recent news items — a defamation ruling involving Bloomberg and currency movement in the ringgit — have no connection to Singapore's weather on July 15. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch for is any meteorological forecast for Singapore in mid-July 2026, or reports of unusual weather patterns in the region as the date approaches. Singapore in July is consistently hot and humid, which is why the three options are clustered in a narrow 31–33°C range — there's no real debate about whether it'll be cold. The genuine uncertainty is within that narrow band. Daily peak temperatures at Changi can shift a degree or two based on cloud cover, rain timing, and wind, all of which are hard to predict a year out. Even short-range forecasts a few days before the date can miss by a degree, so the true outcome stays genuinely open until the day itself.

The odds right now

• 32°C56%
• 33°C34%
• 31°C9%
• 34°C2%
• 30°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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