Highest temperature in Singapore on July 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest single reading of the day be at Singapore's Changi Airport on July 16, 2026 — specifically whether it lands at 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C? Singapore sits near the equator and is consistently hot and humid, so the question isn't really 'will it be hot?' — it's about a narrow, one-degree difference between three very similar outcomes. Think of it as guessing which rung of a short ladder the thermometer will stop at. After July 16, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market will check Weather Underground's historical data for Singapore's Changi Airport Station and find the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever option — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — matches that number wins. One small catch: the market won't officially settle until the first data point for July 17 appears, and only temperature readings published before that cutoff count, even if Weather Underground later corrects its data. No recent news was provided that is relevant to Singapore's July 16 temperature. The one headline available is about currency markets in Malaysia — unrelated to local weather. To track this market, you'd want to watch Singapore's weather forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore as the date approaches, since short-range forecasts become far more reliable within a few days. A one-degree difference is genuinely hard to predict a year in advance. Singapore's daily highs in July typically cluster in the 31–33°C range, which is exactly why all three options have meaningful odds. The uncertainty comes from small, unpredictable factors: cloud cover that afternoon, a passing rain shower that cools things briefly, or an unusually still day that lets heat build. July 2026 is still far enough away that no forecast exists — this is essentially a question about natural variability within a tight band.

The odds right now

• 32°C54%
• 33°C24%
• 31°C21%
• 30°C3%
• 34°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.