Highest temperature in Singapore on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of July 19, 2026 feel like in Singapore — specifically, will the peak temperature that day hit 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C? Each degree range is its own outcome. The winner is whichever bucket contains the single highest temperature reading recorded that day at Changi Airport. To picture it: 32°C is a hot, humid tropical afternoon — the kind where shade doesn't help much. 33°C is noticeably hotter. 31°C would be a slightly cooler day by Singapore's standards. On July 19, 2026, whoever runs this market will check the Weather Underground website for the Changi Airport weather station and look at the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever option — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — contains that number wins. The check happens only after the first data point for July 20 appears, so late-day revisions to the July 19 data can still count. After that cutoff, no further data changes will be considered. None of the recent news provided relates to Singapore's weather or temperature forecasts. There is no relevant climate or meteorological update to point to here. The kind of news that would matter is a Singapore Meteorological Service forecast for mid-to-late July, or any regional weather pattern — such as unusual monsoon activity — that might push temperatures higher or lower than the seasonal norm. Day-to-day peak temperatures in Singapore are genuinely hard to pin down to a single degree. The three options are tightly clustered — just two degrees apart total — and the difference between a 32°C and 33°C day can come down to cloud cover, a passing rain shower, or wind direction that morning. The market is fairly spread across all three options, reflecting real uncertainty. July falls in Singapore's inter-monsoon period, when weather is variable. A forecast made weeks in advance cannot reliably separate these outcomes.

The odds right now

• 32°C43%
• 33°C30%
• 31°C23%
• 34°C4%
• 30°C3%
• 35°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.