Highest temperature in Taipei on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, how hot will it get in Taipei? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at a specific weather station — Taipei Songshan Airport. The three choices are 34°C, 35°C, or 36°C (roughly 93°F, 95°F, and 97°F). You're picking which of those three temperature bands the peak reading will fall into. Think of it as guessing the hottest point of one summer afternoon in Taipei. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Taipei Songshan Airport Station on July 14, 2026, as shown on the weather history site Wunderground. Whatever whole-number Celsius reading is the day's peak — say, 35°C — the matching answer wins. One edge case worth knowing: the result isn't locked in until the first data point from July 15 appears on that site, meaning late corrections to July 14's readings can still count right up until that moment. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date is any seasonal forecast for Taiwan in mid-July 2026 — particularly whether a heat wave, typhoon, or unusual weather pattern is expected around that time, since those can push temperatures noticeably above or below the typical summer range. Mid-July in Taipei is reliably hot and humid, so the question isn't really whether it'll be warm — it will be. The uncertainty is about the narrow bands separating the choices. A single degree Celsius is a small margin, and daily peak temperatures can shift based on cloud cover, wind, or a passing rain shower. The market currently leans toward 35°C at 41%, but 34°C and 36°C together account for nearly as much. A year out, no forecast can reliably distinguish between outcomes this close together.

The odds right now

• 35°C43%
• 36°C34%
• 34°C26%
• 37°C4%
• 38°C1%
• 39°C or higher1%
• 29°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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