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Highest temperature in Taipei on June 13?

37%Updated 1 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Taipei? The three leading options are 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C — roughly 82°F, 84°F, and 86°F. A 'Yes' for any one option means the day's peak temperature lands exactly on that number. It's not a range you pick — it's a specific degree. Think of it as guessing the top of the thermometer for one particular day in a hot, humid city in early summer. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Taipei Songshan Airport Station on June 13, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. That reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The market can only close after the first data point for June 14 appears on that site, confirming the full day's record is in. One thing worth noting: if Weather Underground later revises the temperature, only corrections made before that June 14 data point appears will count. Later edits are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather question like this, what would actually matter is closer to the date: seasonal climate forecasts for Taiwan in June, or any unusual weather patterns forming in the western Pacific in the days leading up to June 13, 2026. Right now, it's far too early for any forecast to be meaningful. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market resolves over a year from now — so any current odds reflect historical patterns, not a real forecast. Mid-June in Taipei is reliably hot and humid, but daily highs can vary by several degrees depending on cloud cover, rain, or passing weather systems. The three leading options (28°C, 29°C, 30°C) are clustered closely together, meaning a small shift in conditions decides which one wins. The spread across multiple options reflects that honest uncertainty.

The odds right now

  • 29°C37%
  • 30°C26%
  • 28°C20%
  • 31°C13%
  • 27°C8%
  • 32°C4%
  • 26°C2%
  • 25°C or below0%
  • 33°C0%
  • 35°C or higher0%
  • 34°C0%

Price history

29°C

37%+16.5%

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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