Highest temperature in Taipei on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Taipei — specifically at Songshan Airport — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius? The three leading options are 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C, which in everyday terms is a hot early-summer day ranging from roughly 81°F to 84°F. Whoever picks the bucket that contains the actual recorded high temperature wins. After June 15, 2026 ends, the market checks the Weather Underground website for the official high temperature recorded at Taipei Songshan Airport Station that day, in whole degrees Celsius. Whichever temperature option contains that number is the winner. One detail worth knowing: the reading is locked in once the first data point for June 16 appears — any late corrections to the June 15 data after that cutoff are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market — the one headline appears to be about Indian politics and has no connection to Taipei weather. The kind of news that would actually matter here is seasonal forecasting for Taiwan in mid-June, or any unusual weather patterns approaching the region around that date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict a year in advance, which explains why the odds are spread across several options rather than one clear favourite. Mid-June in Taipei is typically hot and humid, but the exact daily high depends on cloud cover, rain, wind, and local conditions that no forecast can reliably pin down this far out. The spread across 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C reflects that — each is plausible, and even a brief afternoon shower could shift the reading by a degree or two.

The odds right now

• 28°C34%
• 29°C29%
• 27°C20%
• 30°C14%
• 31°C or higher3%
• 26°C3%
• 25°C0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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