Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Tel Aviv get on June 13, 2026 — specifically, what will the single highest temperature of that day be? The three options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C (roughly 82°F, 84°F, and 86°F). You're not predicting an average or a range of the whole day — just the peak reading, the hottest moment recorded that day at the airport weather station. The market settles based on one specific data source: NOAA's temperature log for Ben Gurion International Airport (station code LLBG). Whatever the highest whole-degree Celsius reading is in that log on June 13, 2026, that's the answer. The number is always rounded to a whole degree — no decimals. The result can only be confirmed once NOAA publishes the first data point for June 14, at which point the record is locked in and any earlier corrections no longer count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather question like this, what would matter most closer to the date is a reliable 10-day forecast for the Tel Aviv area, or any unusual climate patterns expected in the eastern Mediterranean that week — but that kind of information won't be meaningful until early June 2026. June is early summer in Tel Aviv, so temperatures in the high 20s to low 30s Celsius are entirely normal — which is exactly why the market clusters tightly around 28–30°C. The honest difficulty is that weather a year out is genuinely unpredictable; even a week before, a sea breeze or a hot inland wind (known as a hamsin) could shift the peak by several degrees. The market currently leans toward 29°C at 49%, but 30°C is a real possibility at 34%, and the gap between them could easily close as the date approaches.

The odds right now

• 29°C51%
• 30°C35%
• 28°C13%
• 31°C2%
• 27°C1%
• 32°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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