Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 10?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature be in Tokyo on June 10, 2026? Specifically, it's measured at Tokyo Haneda Airport and recorded in whole degrees Celsius. A 'Yes' on 22°C means the day's peak temperature lands at exactly 22°C — not 21, not 23, but 22. The other options (23°C, 24°C, and presumably others) would each win if the peak lands in their range instead. Think of it as picking the right notch on a thermometer for that one day. On June 10, 2026, whoever runs this market will check the Weather Underground website for the highest temperature recorded at Tokyo Haneda Airport Station that day, in whole-degree Celsius. Whichever temperature bracket matches that reading wins — that's how it 'resolves', meaning gets its final answer. One important detail: the result is locked in once the first data point for June 11 appears on that site. Any corrections made after that cutoff are ignored, even if the official record later changes. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since it covers a date in June 2026, the kind of development worth watching closer to that time would be seasonal weather forecasts for the Tokyo area — particularly whether early summer heat arrives on schedule or whether cooler patterns are in play around that specific date. The market is priced almost entirely on 22°C, which means participants currently see it as the near-certain outcome. The honest uncertainty here is not a close contest between options — it's simply whether something unexpected happens. Tokyo in early June sits right at the edge of rainy season, and daily highs can shift meaningfully based on whether cloud cover or an early heat surge arrives. A single unusual weather system could push the reading to 23°C or above, which is the main remaining risk.

The odds right now

• 22°C100%
• 17°C or below0%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C0%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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