Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, how warm will it get in Wellington, New Zealand — specifically at the airport weather station? Wellington is in the Southern Hemisphere, so June 11 is a winter day there, which is why the temperatures being discussed are cool, around 14–16°C (roughly 57–61°F). The three options are like buckets: the market is essentially asking which single-degree bucket the day's peak temperature will land in. At the end of June 11, 2026 (Wellington time), someone checks the Weather Underground website for Wellington Airport and reads off the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever that number is — 14, 15, or 16 — that's the option that wins. One thing worth noting: the market waits until the first data point from June 12 appears before it officially settles, so there's a small built-in delay. Any last-minute corrections to the June 11 reading are accepted until that first June 12 data point appears. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. The only headline given is about SpaceX and has no connection to Wellington's weather. What would actually matter here is local Wellington weather forecasts as June 11 approaches — checking New Zealand meteorology sources closer to the date would give a much clearer picture than anything available now. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market is set about a year in advance, so right now the odds are based almost entirely on historical climate patterns for Wellington in mid-winter. The 82% on 14°C reflects what's typical for that time of year, but any given day can surprise — a warmer air mass, an unusually still day, or an unexpected weather system could push the reading to 15°C or beyond. The gap between 14°C and 15°C is just one degree, so even a small deviation matters.

The odds right now

• 14°C100%
• 15°C0%
• 8°C or below0%
• 9°C0%
• 10°C0%
• 11°C0%
• 12°C0%
• 13°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 17°C0%
• 18°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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