Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Wuhan get on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Wuhan's main airport weather station. The three options — 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C — represent ranges, and you're picking which bucket the peak temperature falls into. To put it in physical terms: 36°C is about 97°F, 37°C is about 99°F, and 38°C is about 100°F — all firmly in 'very hot summer day' territory for central China in July. The market settles based on the highest single temperature reading logged on July 13, 2026, at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport weather station, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 14 appears on that site, after which any later corrections to the July 13 data won't count. Whichever option — 36°C, 37°C, or 38°C — contains that final peak reading wins. The two news items provided are about education policy in India and have no connection to Wuhan's weather. There's no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is any extended heat forecast for central China in mid-July 2026, or historical temperature records for Wuhan around that date — July is typically Wuhan's hottest month, which is the main background context worth knowing. July weather is genuinely hard to pin down more than a few days out, and a single degree makes the difference between outcomes here. The market currently leans toward 36°C (52%) with 37°C close behind (42%), but these two options together cover nearly the entire probability — meaning the market sees this as essentially a two-horse race with a roughly one-degree margin of uncertainty. The main unpredictability is whether a heat surge or a passing cloud cover tips that one degree either way on a specific afternoon.

The odds right now

• 37°C93%
• 38°C5%
• 39°C0%
• 30°C or below0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 40°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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