Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Wuhan's main airport weather station? Wuhan is a major city in central China known for brutal summer heat — locals call it one of China's 'furnace cities.' The three options are 37°C (about 99°F), 38°C (about 100°F), or 39°C (about 102°F). You're essentially picking which single-degree bucket the peak afternoon temperature falls into that day. The market settles on whichever temperature option matches the single highest reading recorded at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on July 14, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The temperature is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point from July 15 appears on that page, after which any corrections to July 14's data are ignored. There is no human judgment call here — it's purely what that one data source shows. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's fairly normal for a weather question more than a year away — there's nothing meaningful to report yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal forecasts for central China in mid-July, and whether any unusual heat dome or atmospheric pattern is developing over the region in the days leading up to July 14, 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a week out, let alone over a year away. July is reliably hot in Wuhan, which is why the market clusters tightly around 37–38°C — that range matches the city's historical mid-July averages. But a single day's peak can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, wind, or a passing weather system. The spread across three adjacent one-degree buckets reflects exactly that: the base climate points one direction, but the specific day remains unpredictable this far in advance.

The odds right now

• 38°C54%
• 39°C25%
• 37°C14%
• 40°C5%
• 41°C1%
• 32°C or below0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 42°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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