Largest Company end of July?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: which company will be worth the most in the world on July 31, 2026? A company's value is measured by its 'market cap' — basically, the total price of all its shares combined. Right now NVIDIA, Apple, and Alphabet (Google's parent company) are the top contenders. Whoever holds the number-one spot at the close of trading on that date wins the market. The market settles on July 31, 2026, at the end of the trading day. Whoever has the highest total share value across all their stock at that exact moment is the answer. The result will be confirmed using a consensus of reliable financial news sources — meaning multiple credible outlets need to agree on who's on top. No partial credit; it's one winner. There are no stated edge cases, but a major market closure or data disruption on that day could theoretically complicate things. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market. They cover unrelated events like a Vietnam boat tragedy and a personal career story. There's no recent news here about NVIDIA, Apple, or Alphabet's stock performance or business developments. The kind of news that would matter: major earnings reports, big product announcements, regulatory actions against any of these companies, or a broad shift in AI industry sentiment. The market is heavily lopsided — it currently prices NVIDIA's chances at around 92%, so the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that lead. NVIDIA's dominance is tied closely to AI chip demand, which can shift quickly if competitors catch up, if a major customer pulls back spending, or if a broader stock market downturn hits. Over a full year, a lot can change. The remaining 8% mostly reflects that possibility — not a genuine coin-toss, but not a certainty either.

The odds right now

• NVIDIA+9.0 pts (1w)92%
• Apple-5.9 pts (1w)7%
• Alphabet-2.9 pts (1w)1%
• Microsoft-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Tesla-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Saudi Aramco-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Amazon-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Broadcom-0.1 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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