MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: which pitcher in the American League will be voted the best of the 2026 season? The Cy Young Award is baseball's top honor for pitchers, given out each year after the season ends. A 'Yes' on any player means you believe that specific pitcher wins the award — there is only one winner, so only one option can pay out. The market settles on whoever Major League Baseball officially names as the 2026 AL Cy Young Award winner, which is typically announced in November after the season. The voters are members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. One edge case worth knowing: if the season is cancelled or somehow no winner is declared before the end of 2026, the market resolves to 'Other' — meaning nobody listed here wins the payout. None of the provided news headlines relate to MLB, pitching, or the 2026 season in any way. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be mid-season pitching stats — things like strikeout totals, ERA, wins, and innings pitched — since those are what Cy Young voters weigh most heavily. Predicting a Cy Young winner this far out is genuinely hard, even with a frontrunner. Injuries can end a season in one outing. A hot August or September can swing votes dramatically. Cam Schlittler at 42% is a striking number for a player many casual fans may not recognize, suggesting this market may be reacting to early-season performance that could easily shift. With months of baseball still to play, the gap between any two pitchers can close fast.

The odds right now

• Dylan Cease+10.6 pts (1w)46%
• Cam Schlittler-5.1 pts (1w)42%
• Jacob deGrom+0.4 pts (1w)3%
• Joe Ryan-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• Gavin Williams-0.4 pts (1w)1%
• Logan Gilbert-0.7 pts (1w)1%
• Tarik Skubal-0.4 pts (1w)0%
• Ranger Suarez0%
• Cole Ragans-1.6 pts (1w)0%
• Max Fried-0.4 pts (1w)0%
• George Kirby-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Kevin Gausman-0.6 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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