MLB: 2026 NL MVP

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: who will win the National League's Most Valuable Player award after the 2026 MLB season? The NL MVP is a yearly prize voted on by baseball writers — given to the player judged to have contributed most to their team in the National League. Right now, the market treats Shohei Ohtani as the overwhelming favorite, with Pete Crow-Armstrong as a distant second, and all other players — including Elly De La Cruz — priced as near-impossibilities. This market settles — 'resolves' — to whichever player is officially named the 2026 NL MVP by the Baseball Writers' Association of America, typically announced in November after the season ends. If there's a tie and multiple winners are declared, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically wins the market. One important edge case: if the 2026 season is cancelled or there's no winner declared by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other' — meaning everyone loses. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 MLB season or this award race in any way. There's genuinely nothing here to go on. The kind of news that would matter: how Ohtani is performing statistically, whether any player is putting up a historic season, or if a key contender suffers an injury. The market prices Ohtani at 85%, so this is not a close race in the market's eyes — the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected knocks him off the top. That could mean injury, a prolonged slump, or another player having a genuinely historic season that shifts the voters. Ohtani has won MVP awards before, but baseball is a long season and a lot can change between now and November. The 15% chance assigned to others reflects that small but real possibility of the unexpected.

The odds right now

• Shohei Ohtani-3.5 pts (1w)85%
• Pete Crow-Armstrong+10.9 pts (1w)12%
• Elly De La Cruz1%
• Corbin Carroll-1.5 pts (1w)1%
• Kyle Schwarber-2.2 pts (1w)0%
• Mookie Betts-0.9 pts (1w)0%
• Juan Soto-1.1 pts (1w)0%
• Fernando Tatis Jr.-0.2 pts (1w)0%
• Bryce Harper-2.0 pts (1w)0%
• Kyle Tucker-0.4 pts (1w)0%
• Francisco Lindor0%
• Ronald Acuña Jr.-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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