OH-13 House Election Winner

What you need to know

This market is asking which party will win Ohio's 13th congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in November 2026. A Yes for Democrats means a Democratic candidate wins that seat; a Yes for Republicans means a Republican wins it. OH-13 is a district in northeastern Ohio — it has historically leaned Democratic — and whoever wins represents that area in Congress for a two-year term starting in 2027. The market settles based on who actually wins the OH-13 election on November 3, 2026. The winner's party is determined by what's listed on the ballot, or — if that's unclear — by which party they've said they plan to align with in Congress. The main source used to call the result will be a consensus of credible news outlets, with the Federal Election Commission's official numbers as the final backup if there's any dispute. The market closes November 4, the day after the election. None of the recent headlines provided are relevant to the OH-13 race. There is no recent news here about this specific district, its candidates, or anything directly shaping the contest. The kind of news that would matter to watch for includes candidate announcements, primary results, local polling, and any significant political or economic developments in Ohio that shift how the district leans heading into November 2026. The market is heavily one-sided — priced around 92% Democratic — so the honest framing is that the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens, not a genuine two-sided contest right now. OH-13 has a Democratic lean, and no major Republican challenger has apparently emerged to shift that. What could change things: a strong Republican candidate entering the race, a national political environment that swings sharply toward Republicans in 2026, or an unexpected Democratic candidate weakness. Those possibilities exist — they're just not dominant in current market thinking.

The odds right now

• Democratic Party+4.9 pts (1w)92%
• Republican Party-4.5 pts (1w)9%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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