Top Song 2026: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking one simple question: which song will be streamed the most on Spotify, worldwide, during the entire year 2026? A Yes on 'Swim – BTS' means that song finishes the year with more plays than every other song on the planet. The other listed songs — 'Beauty And A Beat' and 'End of Beginning' — are competing options. There is also an implied 'Other' category, meaning any song not listed here could still win. Spotify settles this by publishing its annual Spotify Wrapped report, which names the single most-streamed song globally for the year. That announcement typically comes in late November or early December — so for 2026, it would arrive around November or December 2026. If Spotify doesn't publish the result by January 31, 2027, the market automatically resolves as 'Other.' One small surprise: if two songs somehow tie in streams, the winner is chosen alphabetically by song title — a rare but real edge case. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market — they cover topics like flood insurance, disaster management, and geopolitical events. No relevant music or streaming news was included. The kind of development that would matter here is a major song release by a listed artist going viral, a BTS member activity announcement, or early Spotify chart data showing a particular track dominating 2026 streams. The entire year of music hasn't happened yet, which makes this genuinely hard to call. A song that dominates global streaming in 2026 might not even exist today — breakout hits are famously impossible to predict in advance. The market currently puts BTS at 47%, reflecting real confidence, but viral moments, unexpected collaborations, or a single TV sync or social media trend can launch an unknown song to the top. The global audience is vast and unpredictable, and 2026 has months of music still to come.

The odds right now

• Swim – BTS44%
• Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj18%
• hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande17%
• Man I Need – Olivia Dean17%
• Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo16%
• End of Beginning – Djo6%
• Babydoll – Dominic Fike5%
• Risk It All – Bruno Mars4%
• Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson4%
• stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo4%
• Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy4%
• Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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