What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What you need to know

This market is really asking: will Bitcoin's price touch a specific level — $65,000, $70,000, or $55,000 — at any point before the end of 2026? The three price levels work differently: the $65,000 and $70,000 questions resolve Yes if Bitcoin climbs *up* to or past those levels, while the $55,000 question resolves Yes if Bitcoin drops *down* to or below that level. It only needs to happen once, even briefly, for it to count. Each question settles based on Binance's BTC/USDT price data — specifically the one-minute candlestick chart — between this market's creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the 'High' of any single one-minute candle touches or exceeds the upside target, the upside question resolves Yes. If the 'Low' of any candle touches or goes below $55,000, that question resolves Yes. One important detail: prices from other exchanges or trading pairs do not count — only Binance BTC/USDT. The only directly relevant news provided is a headline noting that Standard Chartered thinks Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy's) messaging isn't helping push the Bitcoin narrative forward, and a separate bullish investor quote about holding Bitcoin. The other headlines — about steel, cricket, and education policy — have no connection to this market. There isn't much fresh news here to anchor to; what would matter most is any major move in Bitcoin's actual price, regulatory developments, or large institutional buying or selling. Bitcoin is one of the hardest assets to predict, and that's exactly what these odds reflect. The market puts the $65,000 touch at 97% — meaning participants see it as nearly certain, so the main remaining uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected prevents it entirely. The $70,000 level sits at 75%, a genuine coin-toss zone where real disagreement exists. The $55,000 downside question at 57% reflects how evenly split sentiment is on a major drop. Crypto can move dramatically on news, regulation, macro shifts, or sentiment swings that no one sees coming.

The odds right now

• ↑ 65,000+8.4 pts (1w)97%
• ↑ 70,000+5.5 pts (1w)75%
• ↓ 55,000-12.5 pts (1w)58%
• ↑ 75,000+8.0 pts (1w)55%
• ↓ 50,000-9.0 pts (1w)42%
• ↑ 80,000-3.5 pts (1w)31%
• ↓ 45,000-7.0 pts (1w)28%
• ↑ 85,000+1.0 pts (1w)23%
• ↓ 40,00023%
• ↑ 90,00019%
• ↑ 95,000+1.0 pts (1w)13%
• ↓ 35,00013%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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