What price will Bitcoin hit on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels — $62,000, $63,000, or $64,000 — at any single moment during July 14, 2026. Each price level is its own separate Yes/No question. A 'Yes' means Bitcoin reached that number at least once that day; a 'No' means it never did. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer ever hits a certain degree during the day — even briefly counts. Each price level resolves Yes if, at any point between midnight and 11:59 PM Eastern Time on July 14, 2026, a one-minute price candle on Binance's BTC/USDT chart touches the target — meaning the candle's highest point reaches or exceeds that level (for upward targets), or its lowest point falls to or below it (for downward targets). Only Binance's BTC/USDT pair is used — no other exchange or trading pair counts, even if Bitcoin trades at that price elsewhere. One relevant headline: Asian markets were described as 'choppy' on July 14 due to uncertainty around a potential U.S. tariff on the Strait of Hormuz. Broader market nervousness like this can spill into crypto and increase price volatility — which matters here, since even a brief spike or dip during a turbulent day could be enough to cross one of these thresholds. No other provided headlines are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price movement. Bitcoin can move thousands of dollars in a single day, so the gap between these price levels is genuinely tight. The market currently prices the $63,000 touch at around 66% and $64,000 at only 17%, suggesting traders see a real range of outcomes. But crypto prices are notoriously hard to predict even hours ahead — a sudden macro shock, a large trade, or a news flash can send prices sharply in either direction. The one-minute candle rule also means a very brief, fleeting spike counts — making timing unpredictable.

The odds right now

• ↑ 63,00075%
• ↓ 62,00048%
• ↑ 64,00018%
• ↓ 61,00010%
• ↑ 65,0003%
• ↓ 60,0003%
• ↑ 66,0001%
• ↓ 59,0001%
• ↑ 67,0001%
• ↓ 57,0000%
• ↑ 68,0000%
• ↓ 58,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.