What price will Bitcoin hit on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch a specific dollar level, $65,000, $64,000, or $66,000, at any moment during July 19, 2026. It only takes one brief spike or dip to that price for the market to settle as Yes. Think of it like asking: 'Will a thermometer ever read exactly that temperature at any point during the day?', even for a single minute counts. Each price level resolves Yes if, at any single one-minute window on July 19 (midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time), Bitcoin's recorded high or low on Binance's BTC/USDT chart touches or crosses that price. Only Binance data counts, not Coinbase, not Kraken, not any other exchange. One brief touch is enough. If the price never reaches that level all day, it resolves No. None of the provided news headlines are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price on July 19, 2026. The headlines cover topics like US strikes on Iran, Samsung job cuts, and Indian stock market forecasts. For this market, the kinds of developments worth watching would be major macroeconomic announcements, regulatory news about crypto, or sudden market-wide risk events that could move Bitcoin sharply in either direction. Bitcoin is genuinely difficult to predict over a single day. Its price can swing thousands of dollars in hours based on news, large trades, or sudden shifts in market sentiment. The resolution bar is also unusually low, just one minute of touching a price level is enough, which makes Yes outcomes more reachable than people expect, but also means a volatile day in either direction matters a lot. The specific Binance-only rule adds a small extra layer of unpredictability.

The odds right now

• ↓ 64,00044%
• ↑ 65,00029%
• ↓ 63,0006%
• ↑ 66,0003%
• ↓ 62,0001%
• ↑ 67,0001%
• ↓ 61,0001%
• ↑ 68,0000%
• ↓ 60,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%
• ↓ 58,0000%
• ↑ 72,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.