What price will Ethereum hit on July 18?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Ethereum's price will touch a specific dollar level — either $1,800 or $1,900 — at any moment during July 18, 2026. Think of it like a tripwire: if ETH's price touches that number even once during the day, even for a single minute, it counts. The two price levels shown ($1,800 at 6% odds and $1,900 at 3% odds) are separate questions about how low ETH might fall on that date. Each version resolves Yes if, at any point between midnight and 11:59 PM Eastern Time on July 18, 2026, a one-minute price bar on Binance's ETH/USDT chart has a 'Low' price that touches or goes below the target number. Only Binance's ETH/USDT data counts — not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other source. If ETH never dips that low on that specific day on Binance, it resolves No. The threshold just needs to be touched once, not held. None of the recent headlines directly concern Ethereum's price. That said, two headlines about Iran attacking Kuwait and rising Middle East tensions are worth noting — geopolitical shocks like these can cause sudden drops across risk assets, including crypto, as investors move toward safety. How significant any spillover to ETH would be is unclear, but it's the kind of macro event that can move markets quickly and unpredictably. Crypto prices can swing dramatically in a single day, which makes any specific price target hard to call. The market currently prices the $1,800 level at just 6% and $1,900 at 3%, suggesting traders see these as unlikely but not impossible — essentially tail-risk scenarios. The main uncertainty is whether an unexpected shock (a geopolitical event, a major liquidation, a regulatory surprise) could push ETH sharply lower on that one specific day. One bad day is all it takes.

The odds right now

• ↑ 1,9004%
• ↓ 1,8003%
• ↓ 1,7501%
• ↑ 1,9501%
• ↑ 2,1500%
• ↓ 1,5500%
• ↑ 2,0000%
• ↓ 1,6500%
• ↑ 2,1000%
• ↑ 2,0500%
• ↓ 1,7000%
• ↓ 1,6000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.