What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in July 2026?
What you need to know
This market is asking how high or how low the price of silver will go during July 2026. Silver is currently trading around the mid-to-high $30s per ounce in mid-2025, so these price targets — $56, $64, $66 — represent significant moves from current levels. Each target is a separate yes/no question: did silver's price touch that number at any moment during July 2026 trading? The upward arrows (↑) ask if silver rose to or above that price; the downward arrow (↓) asks if it fell to or below $56. Each sub-market settles Yes if silver's price touches the target level even once during any single minute of July 2026 trading — it only needs to be reached for a moment, not held. The price is checked using 1-minute candle data from Pyth, a real-time data feed. If silver never reaches the target during July 2026 business hours, it resolves No. One important edge case: only prices recorded during official trading hours count, and holiday schedules could slightly affect which hours qualify. None of the provided news headlines relate meaningfully to silver prices or the precious metals market. To watch for developments that would actually matter here, keep an eye on U.S. dollar strength, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, industrial demand signals (silver is used heavily in solar panels and electronics), and any major geopolitical or financial stress events that tend to push investors toward precious metals. The biggest challenge is that these price targets are far from where silver trades today — reaching $56–$66 would require an extraordinary rally by historical standards. The market currently prices the $64 target at 48% and $66 at 25%, which are surprisingly high odds for such large moves, suggesting participants expect continued momentum. But silver is notoriously volatile and sensitive to many forces — currency moves, industrial demand, investor sentiment — none of which are easy to forecast more than a year out. A lot can change.
The odds right now
- ↓ $56+15.5 pts (1w)54%
- ↑ $64-51.0 pts (1w)37%
- ↓ $54+4.0 pts (1w)27%
- ↑ $66-43.5 pts (1w)23%
- ↑ $68-27.5 pts (1w)17%
- ↓ $52-1.0 pts (1w)15%
- ↑ $70-19.0 pts (1w)8%
- ↓ $50+0.5 pts (1w)7%
- ↓ $48+1.1 pts (1w)2%
- ↓ $46-0.1 pts (1w)1%
- ↓ $44-0.1 pts (1w)1%
Price history
↓ $56
How this resolves
Resolves August 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- ↓ $5654%
- ↑ $6437%
- ↓ $5427%
- ↑ $6623%
- ↑ $6817%
- ↓ $5215%
- ↑ $708%
- ↓ $507%
- See all 11 outcomes →
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