What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
What you need to know
This market is asking which specific movie will land in the second spot on Netflix's official weekly global popularity chart. Every week, Netflix publishes a ranked list of the most-watched movies worldwide — this question is simply about who finishes second on that list for the week ending around July 13, 2026. It's not about quality or reviews; it's purely about raw viewing numbers across all Netflix subscribers globally. Netflix updates its official Top 10 list at top10.netflix.com each Tuesday — in this case, July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Whatever film appears in the #2 slot on that update, based on total global views for the English-language movies chart, is the answer. One important edge case: this market only tracks English-language films, so non-English titles are excluded from contention. If Netflix fails to publish the update by July 17, the market automatically settles as 'Other.' None of the recent news provided relates to Netflix movies or the films listed in this market. There are no relevant headlines here to draw on. The kind of news that would matter is a major new Netflix film release or a viral moment driving views toward a specific title — that's worth watching for as the week closes. The biggest challenge is that no single listed option even reaches 10% odds — 'Little Brother' leads at just 7% — meaning the market strongly implies the winner will be something not listed here at all. Weekly streaming rankings can shift dramatically based on new releases, algorithm-driven recommendations, or a film suddenly going viral on social media. There's no reliable public data on mid-week viewing trends, so this is genuinely hard to call until Netflix publishes the list.
The odds right now
- Enola Holmes 35%
- Little Brother5%
- Voicemails for Isabelle3%
- Hamnet1%
- Spider-Man: Homecoming1%
- Maternal Instinct1%
- Retribution1%
- Gone Girl1%
- Swapped0%
- KPop Demon Hunters0%
Price history
Enola Holmes 3
How this resolves
Resolves July 14, 2026
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- Enola Holmes 35%
- Little Brother5%
- Voicemails for Isabelle3%
- Hamnet1%
- Spider-Man: Homecoming1%
- Maternal Instinct1%
- Retribution1%
- Gone Girl1%
- See all 10 outcomes →
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