What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: when Netflix publishes its weekly global movie rankings, which film will sit in the second spot? A Yes on 'Voicemails for Isabelle' means that movie finished second in total views worldwide for the week, not first, not third, exactly second. A win for any other listed option means that film took the #2 slot instead. It only covers English-language movies, so non-English films on Netflix are not part of this ranking. Netflix publishes its official weekly Top 10 list at top10.netflix.com every Tuesday, in this case, July 21, 2026, around 3:00 PM Eastern Time. Whatever movie that update lists as #2 globally (English movies only) is the answer, and the market is settled accordingly. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by July 24, 2026 at midnight Eastern, the market automatically resolves as 'Other', regardless of what the eventual rankings show. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix movie rankings or the films listed in this market. The one Netflix-related headline, about the company using AI for crowd and battle scenes, is about production technology, not viewership charts. There is no recent news here that sheds light on which movie is currently trending on the platform. The market prices 'Voicemails for Isabelle' at 86%, so the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected knocks it out of the #2 spot. Weekly streaming rankings can shift quickly, a new release, a viral moment, or a competing title surging late in the week can reshuffle the chart. The ranking also depends on what finishes #1, since that affects which title lands at #2. Small movements near the top of the list are genuinely hard to forecast until Netflix publishes the official numbers.

The odds right now

• Voicemails for Isabelle89%
• Enola Holmes 34%
• The Hunger Games: Catching Fire1%
• Heartstopper Forever1%
• Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea0%
• The Hunger Games0%
• Old Henry0%
• White Chicks0%
• The Doorman0%
• KPop Demon Hunters0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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