Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

What you need to know

This market is asking: if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce get married, who will be in the room? Each person listed — like Danielle Haim, Sabrina Carpenter, and Jack Antonoff — has their own separate Yes or No question: will they physically attend the wedding? A 'Yes' means that person was actually there in person. A 'No' means either they didn't attend, or the wedding never happened at all by the end of 2026. Two things must happen for any of these to resolve Yes: first, Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce must actually get married before December 31, 2026; second, the specific person must be confirmed as physically present at the ceremony. Proof requires photos, video, or a statement from Swift, Kelce, the attendee, or their official representatives. Being invited doesn't count. Watching remotely doesn't count. If no wedding happens by the deadline, everything resolves No — regardless of how close they may have been to tying the knot. None of the recent news provided relates to Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their relationship. There's nothing here about an engagement announcement, wedding plans, or any relevant updates. The kind of news that would matter to watch for: an official engagement announcement, any public statement about wedding timing, or reporting from entertainment outlets close to their circle. The biggest single uncertainty here is whether the wedding happens at all before December 31, 2026 — if it doesn't, everything resolves No. Swift and Kelce have not publicly announced an engagement as of the available information, so that foundational event is still unknown. Even if a wedding does occur, celebrity guest lists are often kept private, and confirmation for each individual person depends on evidence surfacing publicly. The market prices these specific guests very high, but that confidence rests entirely on a wedding first taking place.

The odds right now

• Gracie Abrams+1.2 pts (1w)99%
• Jack Antonoff+3.5 pts (1w)99%
• Selena Gomez-0.5 pts (1w)99%
• Sabrina Carpenter-3.6 pts (1w)93%
• Este Haim-4.0 pts (1w)91%
• Danielle Haim-5.6 pts (1w)90%
• Alana Haim-5.1 pts (1w)90%
• Patrick Mahomes-13.8 pts (1w)85%
• Brittany Mahomes-16.3 pts (1w)83%
• Max Martin-12.3 pts (1w)79%
• Phoebe Bridgers-46.5 pts (1w)1%
• Lana Del Rey-28.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

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