What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of July 13 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking how high WTI crude oil — the main U.S. oil price benchmark — will trade during the week of July 13, 2026. There are three separate price targets: $80, $85, and $90 per barrel. Each one is an independent Yes/No question. A 'Yes' on, say, $80 means oil touched or crossed $80 at any moment that week. A 'No' means it stayed below $80 the entire week. The market currently thinks $80 is very reachable (70%), $85 is a stretch (28%), and $90 is a long shot (10%). Each price level resolves Yes if WTI crude oil futures touch that price — even for a single minute — at any point during the trading week of July 13–17, 2026. The data comes from Pyth, a financial data service, using one-minute price candles for the 'active month' futures contract. It only takes one candle's high or low to hit the target. If oil never reaches that price level during that week, it resolves No. Trading runs nearly 24 hours on weekdays, starting Sunday evening at 6 PM Eastern Time. No oil market news was provided. The only recent headline is about Fourth of July accidents in North Carolina, which has no connection to oil prices. To track this market, the developments worth watching would be OPEC+ production decisions, U.S. inventory reports, global demand signals, and any major geopolitical events that could disrupt supply. Oil prices are genuinely hard to predict over any multi-week window. They respond to OPEC+ output decisions, surprise inventory data, economic growth signals, and sudden geopolitical events — any of which can move prices sharply in either direction. The $80 target has strong market confidence at 70%, so the main uncertainty there is simply whether something unexpected drives prices down. The $85 and $90 targets face larger unknowns: oil would need a meaningful upward move from wherever it trades as July approaches.

The odds right now

• ↑ $8540%
• ↑ $9015%
• ↑ $956%
• ↓ $705%
• ↑ $1002%
• ↓ $652%
• ↑ $1051%
• ↓ $601%
• ↓ $551%
• ↓ $500%
• ↓ $400%
• ↓ $450%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 17, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of July 13 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

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