What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?

What you need to know

This market asks whether the price of US crude oil will hit certain extreme levels during a specific week in 2026. There are three separate price targets to track: Will oil drop below $85 (a bearish move down), or climb above $100 or $105 (bullish surges up)? Each is its own Yes/No question. Right now, oil trades well below $100, so hitting $85 on the downside is the most discussed scenario, while $100 and $105 represent significant rallies from current levels. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single one-minute window in the trading week of June 8–12, 2026, the official high or low price of the front-month WTI crude oil futures contract touches or crosses that level. The price data comes from Pyth, a real-time financial feed. If oil simply gets close but never quite reaches the number — even by a fraction of a cent — it resolves No. The market also resolves No if crude oil futures don't trade at all that week, which is extremely unlikely under normal conditions. No specific recent news was provided for this market. In general, the developments most worth watching for a question like this would be OPEC+ production decisions, major shifts in global demand forecasts, geopolitical events affecting oil supply routes, or significant changes in US dollar strength — any of which can move crude oil prices sharply. Oil prices are genuinely difficult to forecast even days ahead, let alone a year out. This market resolves in June 2026, which is a long time away. OPEC+ supply decisions, global economic slowdowns, conflict in oil-producing regions, and US shale output can all shift prices dramatically and unpredictably. The market currently prices the $85 downside at 21%, and the $100–$105 upside targets at just 4–5%, suggesting traders see those rallies as unlikely — but a lot can change in a year.

The odds right now

• ↓ $8518%
• ↑ $1006%
• ↑ $1053%
• ↓ $802%
• ↓ $752%
• ↓ $701%
• ↑ $1101%
• ↑ $1150%
• ↓ $650%
• ↑ $1200%
• ↑ $1250%
• ↓ $600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

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