World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

What you need to know

This market is asking which country will win FIFA's Fair Play Award at the 2026 World Cup — a prize given to the team that showed the best sportsmanship throughout the tournament. Think of it as the 'cleanest team' award: fewest yellow cards, fewest red cards, and generally respectful behavior on the pitch. A Yes for Norway means Norway wins that award; a No means some other country does. After the 2026 World Cup ends, FIFA will officially name the Fair Play Award winner — and that country is how this market settles. The deadline is August 2, 2026. If two countries tie, FIFA's own tiebreaker rules decide; if FIFA somehow names multiple winners, the market goes to whichever country comes first alphabetically. If the tournament is cancelled or has no declared winner by that date, the market settles as 'Other' instead of any named country. None of the recent news provided relates to this market. The headlines are about geopolitical events involving the Strait of Hormuz, technology, and energy — not the 2026 World Cup or any team's conduct during the tournament. The thing to watch for would be reports about yellow and red card tallies as the tournament progresses, since FIFA calculates the Fair Play Award based on disciplinary records across all matches. Norway's 85% odds reflect one specific and well-known fact: Norway did not qualify for the 2026 World Cup. In past tournaments, FIFA has sometimes given the Fair Play Award to a team that was eliminated early precisely because of its clean disciplinary record — but a team has to actually play to accumulate that record. The real uncertainty is whether Norway's qualification status affects this at all, or whether the market odds reflect some other reasoning that isn't immediately obvious from publicly available information.

The odds right now

• Norway+27.5 pts (1w)81%
• France-7.8 pts (1w)6%
• Spain-12.8 pts (1w)3%
• Japan-9.0 pts (1w)2%
• Netherlands-4.7 pts (1w)2%
• Cape Verde-5.9 pts (1w)1%
• Germany-1.7 pts (1w)1%
• United States-2.0 pts (1w)1%
• Senegal-1.9 pts (1w)1%
• Mexico-2.2 pts (1w)1%
• Iran-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• England-3.9 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the nation who wins the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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