AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$4.8k 24h vol·politics
$17.5k total volume·Open for 10 days
Greg Stanton
91%+45.1%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
Greg Stanton
+8.6%
$2.1k
Kai Newkirk
-8.0%
$2.7k
Order Book
Greg Stanton
PriceSharesTotal
94.0¢365$343
93.3¢1.1k$1.0k
93.1¢332$309
93.0¢684$636
92.9¢307$285
92.8¢216$200
92.7¢100$93
92.6¢20$19
92.3¢65$60
92.2¢30$28
91.7¢last trade
2.2¢ spread90.0¢196$177
89.7¢200$179
89.5¢90$80
89.4¢196$176
89.1¢186$166
89.0¢100$89
87.2¢100$87
87.1¢90$78
87.0¢300$261
86.8¢23$20
$1.3k bids$3.0k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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