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Highest temperature in Austin on June 14?

Highest temperature in Austin on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$10.0k 24h vol
$10.8k total volume·Open for 1 days

90-91°F

29%-15.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Austin, Texas get on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know which temperature range — like 88–89°F or 90–91°F — will contain the single highest temperature reading of the day at Austin's main airport. Think of it as a contest over what the thermometer peaks at during the hottest moment of that day, measured in whole-number Fahrenheit degrees. The current market puts 90–91°F as the most likely answer at 31%, followed by 88–89°F at 24%, then 92–93°F at 18%.

OutcomeYesNo
90-91°F
88-89°F
92-93°F
86-87°F
94-95°F
96-97°F
84-85°F
98-99°F
83°F or below
100-101°F

Order Book

90-91°F

PriceSharesTotal
47.0¢12$6
45.0¢30$14
42.0¢9$4
41.0¢9$4
39.0¢30$12
36.0¢16$6
35.0¢6$2
34.0¢8$3
33.0¢40$13
30.0¢125$38
31.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
28.0¢91$26
27.0¢30$8
24.0¢30$7
23.0¢86$20
22.0¢90$20
21.0¢75$16
20.0¢33$7
12.0¢20$2
11.0¢76$8
5.0¢690$35
$148 bids$100 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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90-91°F

30%