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Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$14.6k 24h vol
$14.6k total volume

29°C

34%+19.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Beijing get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature for that single day — the highest number the thermometer hits before midnight. The options are individual degree values in Celsius, so a 'Yes' on 29°C means the hottest moment of that day lands exactly at 29°C, not 28°C, not 30°C. Think of it like guessing the afternoon high on a weather app, pinned to one specific day about a year from now.

OutcomeYesNo
29°C
30°C
28°C
31°C
27°C
32°C
26°C
34°C
33°C
35°C or higher

Order Book

29°C

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢6$3
47.0¢30$14
42.0¢32$13
40.0¢59$24
39.0¢5$2
38.0¢20$8
37.0¢5$2
36.0¢33$12
35.0¢40$14
34.0¢30$10
67.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
33.0¢33$11
32.0¢14$5
29.0¢30$9
28.0¢20$6
26.0¢5$1
25.0¢7$2
24.0¢40$10
23.0¢75$17
22.0¢20$4
21.0¢20$4
$68 bids$102 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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29°C

34%