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Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$52.8k 24h vol
$58.6k total volume·Open for 2 days

18°C

100%+87.2%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature be in Cape Town on June 12, 2026? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 16°C, 17°C, or 18°C? June 12 falls in Cape Town's winter — the Southern Hemisphere has its cold season mid-year — so these are genuinely chilly daytime highs, not a typo. The market is essentially asking people to guess the peak of a single winter day at Cape Town's airport weather station, to the nearest whole degree.

OutcomeYesNo
18°C
19°C
20°C
21°C or higher
17°C
11°C or below
12°C
13°C
14°C
15°C

Order Book

18°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢163$163
99.8¢551$550
99.2¢last trade
0.3¢ spread
99.5¢10$10
99.4¢35$35
99.0¢20$20
98.7¢184$181
98.5¢30$30
98.1¢25$25
93.2¢75$70
88.0¢6$5
87.2¢32$28
83.7¢65$54
$458 bids$713 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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18°C

100%